Political economy, ethnic politics, and comparative clientelism in developing countries; research design, causal inference, statistical methods, multi-method research
Thad Dunning is Robson Professor of Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley and directs the Center on the Politics of Development. He teaches graduate and undergraduate courses on comparative politics, political economy, and methodology. His first book, Crude Democracy: Natural Resource Wealth and Political Regimes (2008, Cambridge University Press), contrasts the democratic and authoritarian effects of oil and other natural resources; it won the Best Book Award from the Comparative Democratization Section of the American Political Science Association and the Gaddis Smith Prize, for the best first book on an international topic by a member of the Yale faculty. His current work on ethnic and other cleavages draws on field and natural experiments and qualitative fieldwork in Latin America, India, and Africa. Dunning has written on a range of methodological topics, including causal inference, statistical analysis, and multi-method research; his book Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences: A Design-Based Approach (2012, Cambridge University Press), was co-winner of the Best Book Award of ASPA's Experimental Research Section. Together with Susan Stokes, Marcelo Nazareno, and Valeria Brusco, he is the author of Brokers, Voters, and Clientelism: The Puzzle of Distributive Politics (2013, Cambridge University Press). His articles have appeared in the American Political Science Review, Comparative Political Studies, International Organization, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Political Analysis, Studies in Comparative International Development, and other journals. Dunning received a Ph.D. degree in political science and an M.A. degree in economics from the University of California, Berkeley (2006). Before returning to Berkeley, he was Professor of Political Science at Yale University.
Brokers, Voters, and Clientelism: The Puzzle of Distributive Politics (2013, Cambridge University Press, with Susan Stokes, Marcelo Nazareno, and Valeria Brusco).
Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences: A Design-Based Approach (2012, Cambridge University Press)
Crude Democracy: Natural Resource Wealth and Political Regimes (2008, Cambridge University Press)
"Ethnic Quotas and Political Mobilization: Caste, Parties, and Distribution in Indian Village Councils." 2013. American Political Science Review 107 (1): 35-56 (with Janhavi Nilekani).
"Cross-Cutting Cleavages and Ethnic Voting: An Experimental Study of Cousinage in Mali." 2010. American Political Science Review 104 (1): 21-39.
"Model Specification in Instrumental-Variables Regression." Political Analysis 16 (3): 290-302.
"Improving Causal Inference: Strengths and Limitations of Natural Experiments." Political Research Quarterly 61 (2): 282-93.